Emerging  Technologies  for  Airplane   State  Awareness  and  Predic8on   Stefan  Schuet   Intelligent  Systems  Division   NASA  Ames  Research  Center   Airline  Opera8ons  Workshop   August  2-­‐4 Main  Contributors   NASA  Ames:   NASA  LaRC:   Stefan  Schuet  (Co-­‐lead)   Steven  Young  (Co-­‐lead)   John  Kaneshige   Taumi  Daniels   Thomas  Lombaerts   Emory  Evans   Kimberlee  Shish     Vahram  Stepanyan   Diana  Acosta     External:   Gordon  Hardy  (Test  Pilot)   Timothy  Etherington   Rockwell-­‐Collins,  Inc.     Dr.  Maarten  Uijt  de  Haag   Ohio  University     Capt.  Daniel  Kiggins     Na8onal  Ins8tute  of  Aerospace   American  Airlines     2 Outline   •  Mo8va8on   •  Technologies   –  Trajectory  Predic8on   –  Safe  Flight  Envelope  Es8ma8on   –  Predic8ve  Aler8ng   –  Synop8c  Displays   –  Stall  Recovery  Guidance   •  Concluding  remarks   Link  to  source  material   (shortened  URL)   hWp://goo.gl/######   3 MOTIVATION   Commercial  Avia8on  Safety  Team  (CAST)   Airplane  State  Awareness  (ASA)  Joint  Safety  Analysis  Team  (JSAT)   •  Subject  maWer  experts  from  industry  and  government     Final  Report  -­‐  Analysis  and  Results,  June  2014   hWp://www.skybrary.aero/bookshelf/books/2999.pdf   4 Loss  of  Control  –  Inflight  (LOC-­‐I)   Boeing  Sta+s+cal  Summary  of  Commercial  Worldwide  Jet   Transport  Accidents,  2011     hWp://goo.gl/NAZ7MD     5 ASA  JSAT  Team  Analysis   Industry  and  government  experts  studied  18  LOC-­‐I  accident/incident  scenarios,   with  focus  on  cases  where  flight  crew  lost  awareness  of  aftude  or  energy  state   hWp://goo.gl/NAZ7MD     6 Significant  Themes   Energy  Awareness  Cases   No  single  technology  will  solve  the  LOC-­‐I  problem.   hWp://goo.gl/NAZ7MD     7 CAST  Recommenda8ons   •  ASA  JSAT  Suggested  274  interven8on   strategies,  and  categorized  them:   –  Aircraj  Design   –  Flightcrew  Training   –  Airline  Opera8ons  and  Maintenance   –  Safety  Data   –  Research   •  NASA/ARMD/AOSP/ATD/TASA  Subprojects   •  This  work  focused  on  outputs  of  Safety   Enhancements  (SE)  207  and  208   hWp://goo.gl/NAZ7MD     8 SE207  Output  Focus     •  Output  3:  Develop  and  refine  systems  that  predict   the  future  aircraj  energy  state  and/or  auto-­‐flight   configura8on  if  the  current  course  of  ac8on  is   con8nued  and  provide  appropriate  aler8ng.     •  Output  2:  Develop  and  refine  algorithms  and  display   strategies  to  provide  control  guidance  for  recovery   from  approach-­‐to-­‐stall  or  stall.     hWp://goo.gl/UVXwXy     9 SE208  Output  Focus     •  Output  1a:  Displays  that  present  the  current  and   future  expected  state  of  automated  systems  in   an  intui8ve  manner.     •  Output  1b:  Displays  that  show,  in  a  simple,   integrated  manner  (e.g,  a  synop8c),  the  aircraj   flight-­‐cri8cal  data  systems  in  use  by  automated   systems  and  primary  flight  instruments   •  Should  do  so  for  both  the  mode  currently   selected  and  any  impending  mode  transi8ons   expected  per  design  of  these  systems.     hWp://goo.gl/CBqsnD     10